LATEST UPDATES
Card-image-cap

Market | Forex

NCM 2020: Lower FX Earnings Widened the Gap Between Two Markets

Feb 25, 2021   •   by   •   Source: Proshare   •   eye-icon 1576 views

Thursday, February 25, 2021   /03:00 AM / By Proshare Research/ Header Image Credit: EcoGraphics


 Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.  

 

On the currency front, thedollar will most likely continue its bearish trend which started at the tailend of 2020, as global recovery proceeds with the continuous production andapproval of vaccines and quantitative easing by major economies, the dollarwill likely gain strength between Q2 and Q3 2021. There will be a positive appetitefor risky currencies especially currencies of Emerging markets, which willlikely trend upwards if the current momentum of recovery is sustained, however,a lockdown because of the further spread in the new strain of the coronaviruswill reverse the outlook.

 

For the domestic economy,in 2020 the CBN adjusted/devalued the Naira on three occasions to ease thepressure on the domestic currency and to reduce the gap between official ratesand parallel rates as this was one of the conditions needed to be met toreceive the World Bank. However, lower FX earnings widened the gap between thetwo markets. The decline in FX inflows also put pressure on the foreignreserves, as of 30 December 2020 foreign reserves had declined by -8.25% YTD. Data released by the CBN showed that as ofQ3 2020, the CBN had injected $4.37bn into the foreign exchange market as partof its efforts to ensure the stability of the Naira, this is expected tocontinue in 2021.

 

Although the inflow offoreign loans and a slight uptick in oil prices managed to ensure some level ofstability of the foreign reserves, this approach is not sustainable in thelong-term. A longer-term solution could be to improve the development andgrowth of non-oil exports, the boosting of non-oil exports would help todiversify FX earnings (see table 66 below).

 

Table 66: Monthly Average Exchange Rate

Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Do feel free to share your opinions/observations and feedback with us vide [email protected] and/or [email protected] 


Watch Video

Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd. 


Downloadable PDF - The 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Report

1.       Complete Report: The Nigerian Capital Market Report 2020: Leveraging a Crisis - Jan 28, 2021

2.       Executive SummaryThe Nigerian Capital Market Report 2020: Leveraging a Crisis - Jan 28, 2021

 

Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Related Links

1.      NCM 2020: Technology and the Nigerian Capital Market      

2.       NCM 2020: Regulatory Governance in 2020

3.       NCM 2020: Energy Commodities Took a Big Hit in 2020

4.       NCM 2020: Bond Funds Grew By 443.80% YoY in 2020

5.       NCM 2020: Lower FX Earnings Widened the Gap Between Two Markets

6.       NCM 2020: FGN Eurobond Was Driven by Movement in Oil Prices and COVID-19 Pandemic

7.       NCM 2020: Treasury Bills Fell to a Record Lows in 2020

8.       NCM 2020: Yields in the Fixed Income Market Took a Downward Trajectory in 2020

9.       NCM 2020: Top Ten Moments in the Nigerian Capital Market in 2020

10.  NCM 2020: NASD USI Closed Green in 8 Out of 12 Months in 2020

11.  NCM 2020: Extracts of Financials of Quoted companies - DANGCEM Tops on Revenue and PAT

12.  NCM 2020: Agriculture Sector - OKOMUOIL Tops on EPS and PAT Margin

13.  NCM 2020: Healthcare Sector - NEIMETH Tops on ROE and PAT Margin

14.  NCM 2020: Industrial Goods Sector - DANGCEM Tops on EPS as BUACEMENT Tops on PE Ratio

15.  NCM 2020: Oil and Gas Sector - TOTAL Tops on PE Ratio as JAPAULOIL Tops on PAT Margin

16.  NCM 2020: Consumer Goods Sector - NESTLE Tops on EPS as DANGSUGAR Tops on PAT Margin

17.  NCM 2020: Financial Services Sector - NESF and STANBIC Top on EPS

18.  NCM 2020: Sectoral Market Capitalisations: Oil and Gas Records - 20.62% Decline in 2020

19.  NCM 2020: A Review of Gote and Toni Indices in 2020

20.  NCM 2020: NSE Records 1 New Listing to 5 Delistings in 2020

21.  NCM 2020: Growth of Securities Listed on NSE - Total Securities Listed Increased by 0.55%

22.  NCM 2020: 23% of Listed Companies on NSE on Pause in 2020

23.  NCM 2020: 84 Stocks Are Off 52-Week Highs as 85 Near 52-Week Lows

24.  NCM 2020: Forty-one Financial Services Stocks Are Penny Stocks in 2020

25.  NCM 2020: NSEASI Performance Review and How Each Company Fared in 2020

26.  NCM 2020: Market Records 57 Gainers to 66 Losers in 2020

27.  NCM 2020: Foreign Portfolio Participation in Equity Trading Dropped from March to November 2020

28.  NCM 2020: Trading Statistics in 2020 - Market Volume Increased by 21.69%

29.  NCM 2020: NSE Market CAP Closed at US$55bn Below the Peak of US$84bn Recorded in 2013

30.  NCM 2020: NSEASI Closed Green in 9 Out of 12 Months in 2020

31.  NCM 2020: Markets Were Volatile Globally in Year 2020 as COVID-19 Pandemic Induced Uncertainty

32.  The Nigerian Capital Market Report 2020: Leveraging a Crisis


Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Monthly NCM

1.      The November 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

2.     The October 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

3.     The September 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

4.     The August 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

5.     The July 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

6.     The June 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

7.     The May 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

8.     The April 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

9.     The March 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

10.  The February 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

11.   The January 2020 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

12.  The November 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

13.  The October 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

14.  The September 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

15.  The August 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

16.  The July 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

17.  The June 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

18.  The May 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

19.  The April 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

20. The March 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

21.  The February 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare

22. The January 2019 Nigerian Capital Market Service Report - Proshare


 Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Annual Reviews & Outlooks

1.        NCM2020 - Fin. MKT in Transition: Understanding Past Uncertainties; Preparing for New Possibilities

2.        Surviving Uncertain Times in the Nigerian Financial Market

 

 Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Special Reports & Publications

1.      NSE Ten Years After a Takeover: The Good, The Bad and Undecided

2.     NSE Post Takeover: A Journey Through Time

3.     NSE Post Takeover: The Story of Then and How

4.     NSE Post Takeover: Market as a Metaphor

5.     NSE Post Takeover: The Imperatives of Tomorrow: Myths, Risks and Opportunities

6.     NSE Post Takeover: Power Moves -Demutualization and The New Board Games

7.     NSE Post Takeover: A Whole New World-Reimagining Endless Possibilities

8.     NSE Post Takeover: Back of the Envelope


 Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Online Trading Reports

1.      Online Trading Ranking Report 2020 - Trading in a Period of a Virus; Building Good Habits

2.     Online Trading Ranking Report 2019 - Refining The User Experience; Trends In Digital Trading

3.     Nigerian Online Trading Portals Ranking Report 2018

4.     Nigerian Capital Market and FX Online Trading Portals Ranking Report H2 2017

5.     The Nigerian Capital Market Online Trading Portals Ranking Report

6.     The Nigerian Online Trading Report


 Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


CMO Reports

1.        Nigerian Equity Market Outlook: COVID Out, Riots In?

2.        Nigerian Economic and Financial Markets: H1:2020 Review and H2:2020 Outlook Opportunity in a Crisis?

3.        Nigeria Economic Outlook 2021: A Shot at Recovery

4.        2021 Outlook - Is The Tunnel Getting Darker or Brighter

5.        Nigeria in 2021: Positioning in the New Normal

6.        Nigeria 2021 Outlook - Navigating Unsteady Terrain

7.        Nigeria FY 2021 Macroeconomic Outlook - A Break in the Clouds

8.        Nigeria 2021 Outlook: COVID-19 Recession and the Long Road to Economic Recovery


 Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Selected Articles

1.     The Year 2020 in Retrospect: A Bleak Year for Households

2.     Will Gold Prices Rally in 2021? Here are Its Ebbs and Flows

3.     Review of 2020 Activities In The Islamic Finance Market And The Outlook For 2021

4.     Ranking Global Equity Markets in 2020: NASDAQ Takes The Lead

5.     Holiday Blues Dampen Trading Activities for Last Trading Session

6.     2021:President Buhari Reaffirms Commitment To A United And Progressive Nigeria

7.     Ten Most Capitalised Stocks Account for 83% Contribution to the NSEASI

8.     Proshare's New Year Message - Change, Technology, and The New Corporate Calling


 Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


News Posts Referenced in the Report

1.     NSE Revolutionises Public Offerings Subscription with Electronic Platform

2.     Finally, NSE Launches the Growth Board with FintechNGR as a Strategic Partner

3.     NSE Migrates      Four Companies from ASeM to Growth Board

4.     Demutualisation: NSE Announces Chief Executives for Emerging Entities

5.     NSE Members Assent to Demutualisation Resolutions at COM and EGM

6.     COVID-19: NSE Activates 30-day Remote Work Plan; Remote Trading to Continue

7.     FGN 14 Day Restriction: NSE to Sustain Remote Trading Amidst COVID-19 Pandemic

8.     CAC Issues Guidelines on Holding of AGMs of Public Companies Using Proxies

9.      COVID-19 and AGM by Proxy: Lessons from GTBank Approach

10.  Revision of Stamp Duty on NSE Transactions to 0.08% from 0.075% Effective 7th December 2020

11.  HM Zainab Shamsuna Ahmed Urges IST to Discharge Duties Diligently

12.  NSE to Re-Introduce Trading Fees for Securities Traded on the Fixed Income Market



Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.

 Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.

 

 

Get the App

apple-store  play-store

Connect with us


Proshare is a professional practice focused on delivering research and information services to bridge the gap between investors and markets; by delivery on credible, reliable, and timely engagements through the following areas — Impact Research, Market Intelligence, Strategic Advisory, Stakeholder Relations & Digital Media.