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Market | Capital Market

Decreasing Trend in Foreign Participation in Nigerian Equities

Jun 28, 2022   •   by   •   Source: FBNQuest   •   eye-icon 249 views

The Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX)  in its latest domestic and foreign investment report for May 2022 noted that total transactions on the local bourse grew by 195.1% m/m to NGN607.5bn in May. These numbers also imply a y/y growth of 525%. Detailing domestic and foreign interests, domestic participation in the Nigerian equities market remained dominant at 92.5% in May alone ( and c.87% ytd). Foreign investors accounted for the balance of 7.5%. Investors' participation outcome in the month of May bucked the trend witnessed so far.  In the four months leading up to April 2022, foreign investor participation was an average of c.18%, only to drop to 7.5% in May. 

On a ytd (to May) basis, total market transaction amounted to NGN1.5trn compared to NGN934.bn in the corresponding period last year. 

The significant growth in ytd transactions was mainly as a result of a 525% y/y growth in transaction value in May. 

This was due to significantly higher domestic institutional participation; domestic institutional participation grew by over 300% m/m. 

Considering foreign inflows in comparison to outflows, ytd, foreign inflows amounted toNGN96bn as against an outflow of NGN105bn. 

Foreign portfolio investors have largely exited Nigeria due to issues with fx liquidity which has led to a backlog of delayed external payments, estimated at c.USD1.7bn by the World Bank.  

For domestic investors, total inflow amounted to NGN278bn against an outflow of NGN285bn. 

Domestic institutional investors remain the most dominant players. Ytd, domestic institutions' involvement amounts to a transaction value of NGN896bn against retail’s NGN408bn. This also implies a y/y growth of 106%. 

Historically, domestic transactions decreased by 58.80% from NGN3.6trn in 2007 to NGN1.5trn in 2021 

Similarly, foreign transactions also decreased by 29.38% from NGN616bn to NGN435bn over the same period. 

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