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Finance | Pensions n Retirement

Allocation Quandary for the PFAs

Feb 04, 2020   •   by   •   Source: Proshare   •   eye-icon 2737 views

Tuesday, February 04, 2020   /10:47AM  / By FBNQuest Research / Header Image Credit:  FBNQuest Research

                                                                                

Datafrom the industry regulator tell us that the assets under management (AUM) ofthe regulated pension industry in Nigeria increased by 17.6% y/y in November toN9.99trn (US$27.5bn), and by 1.8% m/m. The share of equities in AUM peaked at16% in 2007, ie before the blowout on the NSE.

 

Incontrast, AUM in the peer industry in Kenya are far more diversely held: 39% ingovernment paper, 20% in real estate, 17% in listed equities and 14% inguaranteed funds at end-2018 according to the Retirement Benefits Authority.

                                                                                                              

The PFAs' holdings of FGN paper amounted to 70.9% of AUM in November,compared with 72.5% one year earlier.

 

The trend to track going forward is the impact on allocation of the CBNcirculars of late October that barred domestic non-bank players (notably thePFAs) from its open market operations (OMO). As their bills issued within OMOmature, fund managers obviously have to take investment decisions. Our roughcalculations point to maturities of about N1trn this month.

 

Over the month of November, holdings of FGN bonds increased by N120bnand of equities by N60bn while those of NTBs declined by N120bn. Returns onNTBs started to fall sharply in November.

 

In this changing investment landscape, PFAs have several outlets fortheir maturing OMO bills, including: FGN bonds, evident from their bid at lastweek's auction; equities despite a far from compelling story; and the mootedgiant infrastructure fund. Each has obvious flaws.

 

Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Unfortunately,the PenCom monthlies no longer show total registrations with the breakdown byage and sector. We cannot therefore track the success of the PFAs in sellingthe new micro-pensions.

 

Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


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 Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.


Proshare Nigeria Pvt. Ltd.

 

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